Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
ELG
1 - 0
FOR
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 4
STE
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
EDI
0 - 4
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 0
STI
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 3
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
STR
1 - 1
BLA
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
ALB
3 - 2
STR
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
STR
0 - 4
KHE
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
STR
2 - 0
CWB
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
STE
1 - 4
STR
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +2 |