Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AIR
0 - 2
FOR
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
STJ
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
ROS
2 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MON
1 - 4
FOR
36%
25%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
BRE
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
STR
2 - 2
MON
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
AYR
2 - 2
STR
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
STR
1 - 2
LIV
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
STR
6 - 0
BER
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
FAL
1 - 0
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |