Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CWB
2 - 1
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 2
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 4
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AYR
2 - 2
FOR
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 2
HOM
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
STR
0 - 1
ALB
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
STE
1 - 0
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
STR
1 - 0
BRE
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 1
STR
56%
23%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
HIB
1 - 0
STR
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |