Scottish Championship Promotion Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 3
AYR
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 3
FOR
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PET
1 - 0
FOR
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
AIR
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
STE
1 - 3
FOR
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 3
STR
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
STR
0 - 2
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
STR
3 - 2
STE
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
STR
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
STR
1 - 0
AYR
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |