Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer analysis

Forfar Athletic Stranraer
50 ELO 46
20% Tilt 3.4%
4495º General ELO ranking 5590º
53º Country ELO ranking 63º
ELO win probability
56.7%
Forfar Athletic
21%
Draw
22.3%
Stranraer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
Forfar Athletic
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.3%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forfar Athletic
-30%
-17%
Stranraer

ELO progression

Forfar Athletic
Stranraer
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forfar Athletic
Forfar Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2012
ARB
Arbroath
3 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
66%
19%
16%
49 56 7 0
11 Aug. 2012
QOS
Queen of the South
2 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
62%
21%
17%
50 54 4 -1
04 Aug. 2012
FOR
Forfar Athletic
0 - 2
Partick Thistle
PAR
39%
24%
37%
50 58 8 0
28 Jul. 2012
FOR
Forfar Athletic
3 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
35%
24%
42%
49 58 9 +1
05 May. 2012
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
57%
23%
20%
48 53 5 +1

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2012
STR
Stranraer
1 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
35%
23%
41%
47 57 10 0
04 Aug. 2012
STR
Stranraer
0 - 8
Livingston
LIV
33%
22%
46%
47 58 11 0
28 Jul. 2012
STR
Stranraer
1 - 2
Stenhousemuir
STE
49%
22%
29%
48 52 4 -1
05 May. 2012
BER
Berwick Rangers
1 - 0
Stranraer
STR
47%
24%
30%
49 47 2 -1
28 Apr. 2012
STR
Stranraer
2 - 3
Queen's Park
QUE
55%
22%
23%
50 52 2 -1
X