Forfar Athletic vs Stirling Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
10º
5º
73
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
STE
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
STR
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
DUM
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 2
FOR
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Stirling Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
STI
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
STI
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
STI
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STI
1 - 0
STR
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
STI
3 - 1
STE
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |