Forfar Athletic vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
10º
5º
44
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
KHE
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 0
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
ELG
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
STR
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
ELG
3 - 1
STE
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STE
1 - 3
DUM
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STI
3 - 0
STE
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
STE
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
STE
1 - 0
ALB
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |