Forfar Athletic vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
FOR
57%
21%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 0
FOR
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 3
AIR
66%
18%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
STE
4 - 5
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
PET
1 - 3
STE
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AIR
0 - 1
STE
41%
24%
36%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
STE
1 - 0
STR
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
AIR
4 - 3
STE
35%
23%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |