Forfar Athletic vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
56.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
ROS
9%
16%
75%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 3
DUN
10%
18%
73%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 3
EAS
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
PET
1 - 2
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
CLY
30%
26%
45%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MON
3 - 0
BRO
37%
23%
41%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
KHE
1 - 1
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
ARB
44%
24%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 1
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |