Forfar Athletic vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
STE
0 - 3
FOR
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
DUM
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
STR
2 - 1
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
ARB
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AIR
1 - 0
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
AIR
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
EAS
0 - 2
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 0
MON
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
STR
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
STE
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |