Cup 1/16
Global 3-4
Forfar Athletic vs Linlithgow Rose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
STE
63%
20%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 3
FOR
36%
24%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 4
DUN
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
FOR
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 1
CWB
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Linlithgow Rose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 3
FOR
36%
24%
41%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
LIN
5 - 1
WIC
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
WIC
2 - 2
LIN
43%
23%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CLA
1 - 3
LIN
24%
22%
54%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GAL
0 - 2
LIN
27%
23%
51%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |