Forfar Athletic vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
CWB
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
PET
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
BUC
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AYR
3 - 3
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 4
AYR
45%
23%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ROS
0 - 0
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 3
GRE
30%
23%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
STR
0 - 8
GRE
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
STI
3 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 2
DUN
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |