Forfar Athletic vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
56.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
DUM
0 - 1
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 1
LIN
42%
22%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
COV
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 2
FAL
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
FAL
2 - 0
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 1
FAL
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
FAL
0 - 0
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FAL
0 - 1
AIR
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |