Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
10º
8º
13
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
9 | 67 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 65 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 64 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 58 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 43 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 38 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 36 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 26 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 5.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 3
EDI
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
FOR
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
CLY
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
ELG
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
ELG
2 - 1
BAN
24%
22%
55%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STI
0 - 1
ELG
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ELG
4 - 2
EAS
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
QUE
4 - 0
ELG
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |