Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 1
FOR
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BLA
1 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
5 - 1
THE
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 4
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
FOR
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ELG
3 - 3
BER
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LIV
3 - 2
ELG
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
BLA
4 - 2
ELG
54%
22%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ELG
1 - 1
BLA
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
THE
1 - 1
ELG
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |