Scottish Championship Promotion Semi-finals
Global 4-7
Forfar Athletic vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
AYR
62%
19%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
STR
0 - 3
FOR
51%
22%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 4
QOS
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 4
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 2
AIR
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 3
DUN
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
CWB
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 3
HAM
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |