Forfar Athletic vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
STE
1 - 2
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
ALB
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CWB
2 - 0
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 1
FOR
73%
17%
11%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 4
EAS
36%
25%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
KIL
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
HIB
4 - 0
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
ICT
0 - 0
DUN
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 0
ABE
36%
26%
37%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
STM
4 - 4
DUN
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |