Forfar Athletic vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
FOR
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 6
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
STR
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
QUE
2 - 2
FOR
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
CLY
1 - 3
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 2
ICT
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CWB
0 - 3
DUN
41%
26%
34%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
RAI
2 - 2
DUN
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 0
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
5 - 0
STR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | -1 |