Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
HIB
7%
15%
79%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 0
FOR
73%
18%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 3
BRE
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ARB
3 - 0
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
RAI
2 - 1
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CLY
3 - 2
DUM
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
DUM
0 - 1
DUN
25%
24%
52%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
ALB
2 - 3
DUM
21%
21%
58%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CLY
2 - 0
DUM
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
DUM
2 - 0
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +2 |