Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 3
COV
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
DUN
12%
17%
71%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
BRE
43%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 2
FOR
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 2
AIR
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 2
MHE
18%
20%
63%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 2
STR
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
CUM
0 - 3
DUM
27%
23%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 2
DUN
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALL
1 - 1
DUM
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |