Forfar Athletic vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
AIR
1 - 1
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
STR
1 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
4 - 0
FOR
32%
24%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
ALB
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
CWB
1 - 4
FOR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CWB
1 - 3
AIR
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
AYR
4 - 1
CWB
61%
20%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
STE
2 - 3
CWB
49%
23%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
CWB
1 - 4
FOR
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CWB
2 - 3
PET
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |