Forfar Athletic vs Brechin City analysis

Forfar Athletic Brechin City
49 ELO 52
16.6% Tilt 7.4%
4495º General ELO ranking 3217º
53º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
40.8%
Forfar Athletic
25.7%
Draw
33.5%
Brechin City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
Forfar Athletic
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.5%
Win probability
Brechin City
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forfar Athletic
-31%
-14%
Brechin City

ELO progression

Forfar Athletic
Brechin City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forfar Athletic
Forfar Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2012
STI
Stirling Albion
2 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
49%
23%
28%
47 46 1 0
03 Mar. 2012
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 2
Stenhousemuir
STE
46%
24%
30%
48 50 2 -1
28 Feb. 2012
FOR
Forfar Athletic
3 - 2
East Fife
EAS
36%
25%
39%
47 54 7 +1
25 Feb. 2012
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
43%
25%
32%
47 46 1 0
22 Feb. 2012
ARB
Arbroath
4 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
71%
18%
12%
48 57 9 -1

Matches

Brechin City
Brechin City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2012
EAS
East Fife
2 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
54%
23%
22%
53 53 0 0
03 Mar. 2012
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
47%
24%
28%
53 54 1 0
28 Feb. 2012
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 3
Stirling Albion
STI
68%
19%
14%
54 42 12 -1
25 Feb. 2012
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 0
Brechin City
BRE
62%
22%
16%
55 60 5 -1
21 Feb. 2012
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 0
Stenhousemuir
STE
51%
23%
26%
54 53 1 +1
X