Forfar Athletic vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ELG
1 - 1
FOR
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 2
EDI
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CLY
2 - 2
FOR
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
MON
72%
17%
10%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BER
3 - 2
FOR
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BER
0 - 2
ARB
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
EDI
2 - 2
BER
48%
24%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BER
1 - 3
CWB
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
BER
4 - 3
CLY
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BER
0 - 1
ELG
30%
24%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |