Forfar Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ALL
2 - 1
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 2
ALB
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
RAI
3 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
RCO
2 - 1
FOR
15%
19%
66%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
AYR
3 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 4
ALB
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
AYR
1 - 2
ARB
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ARB
2 - 3
EAS
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARB
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
AIR
1 - 1
ARB
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |