Forfar Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
GLA
3 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 0
FOR
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
EAS
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AIR
5 - 1
FOR
35%
24%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
STR
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ARB
4 - 2
STR
28%
24%
49%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STE
2 - 2
ARB
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 2
GLA
8%
19%
73%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AYR
2 - 1
ARB
69%
17%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
0 - 1
AIR
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |