Forfar Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 3
STE
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
STR
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 2
ALB
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 1
FOR
56%
22%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
ALL
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 1
QOS
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 1
ARB
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 4
AYR
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 2
ALL
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 1
ARB
59%
21%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |