Forfar Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
AYR
48%
22%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
4 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 5
QOS
32%
26%
43%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
STE
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NAI
2 - 3
FOR
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 1
CEL
13%
18%
69%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 2
STE
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
ARB
81%
13%
5%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
ARB
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 1
STR
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |