Forfar Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
EAS
4 - 3
FOR
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 2
DUM
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
STI
2 - 4
FOR
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 2
AIR
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 1
CWB
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 3
ARB
48%
24%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ARB
3 - 1
AIR
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DUM
3 - 4
ARB
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ARB
4 - 2
STI
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |