Forfar Athletic vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 2
ALB
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
BRE
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
STE
0 - 4
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 3
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
QOS
1 - 0
ALL
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ALL
3 - 0
STR
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALL
0 - 2
STE
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 3
ALL
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ALL
2 - 3
ARB
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |