Forfar Athletic vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 3
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
STE
0 - 1
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
EAS
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
DUM
1 - 2
FOR
36%
26%
37%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
EAS
3 - 1
FOR
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 3
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 3
DUM
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
PET
4 - 1
ALL
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
DUM
4 - 1
ALL
32%
27%
42%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 1
AYR
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |