Forest Green Rovers vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
LIN
6 - 2
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
LEY
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRI
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 2
FOR
34%
26%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SWI
1 - 2
DAR
72%
17%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
PLY
4 - 2
SWI
54%
23%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 1
HUL
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWI
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SWI
0 - 2
SUN
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |