FA Cup 1/128
Global 5-2
Forest Green Rovers vs Rotherham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
EBB
0 - 2
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
FOR
2 - 2
FAR
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
RUS
1 - 2
FOR
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
FOR
4 - 1
NOR
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
RFC
1 - 3
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
ROT
2 - 1
BCF
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ROT
2 - 1
GRI
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
DAG
0 - 2
ROT
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ROT
3 - 1
MOR
36%
25%
38%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROT
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |