Forest Green Rovers vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 3
ALT
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
TBA
0 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 1
FOR
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 2
CAM
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
GIL
1 - 1
ROC
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
ROC
2 - 0
LUT
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
ROC
3 - 2
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ROC
1 - 1
MAC
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 1
ROC
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |