Forest Green Rovers vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
LUT
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
TAM
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
LIN
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 0
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
POR
4 - 1
WYC
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
OXF
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 2
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |