Forest Green Rovers vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
72.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 3
BRA
22%
26%
53%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
GRI
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
5 - 2
SCA
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TRA
3 - 0
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
OXF
2 - 0
GRI
64%
20%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
OXF
0 - 0
BOL
28%
26%
45%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 0
OXF
15%
23%
63%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LEY
2 - 3
OXF
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
OXF
5 - 0
CHE
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |