Forest Green Rovers vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GRI
1 - 2
FOR
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
STE
3 - 0
FOR
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 3
SOU
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 2
FOR
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
CRA
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOR
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAL
37%
27%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
MOR
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |