Forest Green Rovers vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
FOR
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 2
FOR
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
ALF
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GRI
1 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 1
EBB
60%
21%
18%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
NUN
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 0
LIN
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
3 - 2
HYD
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
LIN
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 2
ALF
39%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |