Forest Green Rovers vs Kettering Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
HAY
2 - 0
FOR
47%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FLE
0 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAN
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
FOR
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
KET
2 - 1
BRA
27%
26%
48%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 1
KET
70%
18%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
KET
0 - 1
KID
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
KET
3 - 5
HAY
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BAT
0 - 1
KET
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |