National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 0-3
Forest Green Rovers vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
DOV
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GAT
2 - 4
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 1
MAC
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 4
FOR
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 3
ALD
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BRO
7 - 0
ALF
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DOV
1 - 1
BRO
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 0
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
KID
0 - 3
BRO
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
BRO
5 - 1
CHE
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |