Forest Green Rovers vs Alvechurch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
CHE
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
OXF
1 - 1
FOR
58%
22%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 2
WYC
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 2
FOR
18%
20%
62%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
FOR
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alvechurch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LEI
4 - 3
ALV
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HIT
2 - 1
ALV
16%
24%
60%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 2
ALV
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NUN
1 - 2
ALV
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BED
0 - 3
ALV
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |