Förde vs Haugesund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
14.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
6º
29
8º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 4 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Förde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
ARD
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
STO
1 - 3
FOR
36%
21%
44%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 2
FAN
20%
20%
60%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OTF
3 - 2
FOR
77%
13%
10%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 4
LIL
79%
12%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Haugesund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
HAU
7 - 5
STO
48%
20%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ARD
3 - 0
HAU
18%
18%
63%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -3 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HAU
2 - 3
OTF
19%
21%
61%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
FAN
0 - 1
HAU
78%
14%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HAU
2 - 1
FLO
75%
14%
11%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |