Forchtenstein vs Stinatz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
JEN
3 - 0
FOR
71%
16%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 3
PAR
22%
22%
56%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KLI
5 - 3
FOR
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 3
HOR
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAU
4 - 2
FOR
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Stinatz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
STI
4 - 2
STM
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 1
STI
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STI
1 - 0
PUR
39%
25%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 3
STI
49%
22%
30%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
JEN
1 - 3
STI
59%
21%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |