Forchtenstein vs St. Georgen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
SIG
4 - 4
FOR
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
GUS
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
DRA
7 - 4
FOR
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 5
NEU
22%
22%
57%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
St. Georgen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STG
2 - 0
STM
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
NEU
0 - 0
STG
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
STG
3 - 0
PUR
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
STI
0 - 0
STG
49%
23%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
STG
0 - 1
PAR
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |