Forchtenstein vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2015 |
STG
3 - 4
FOR
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 3
PUR
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
JEN
2 - 1
FOR
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
DEU
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 2
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
HOR
31%
24%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
STM
2 - 1
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
OBE
21%
24%
55%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DRA
3 - 3
MAR
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 2
STG
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |