Forchtenstein vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
52.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
STM
2 - 3
FOR
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
5 - 3
DRA
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
STI
3 - 1
FOR
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
OBE
24%
23%
52%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
ASK
2 - 3
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 3
MAR
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
STM
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
SIG
2 - 2
MAR
14%
19%
68%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 2
STI
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
FCW
1 - 4
MAR
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |