Forchtenstein vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
54.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAU
4 - 2
FOR
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
PIN
29%
23%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
STG
3 - 1
FOR
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
SIG
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GUS
2 - 1
FOR
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 1
STM
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 3
HOR
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 0
PUR
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STI
1 - 1
HOR
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
JEN
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |