Força e Luz vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
51%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
ASS
1 - 1
FEL
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
FEL
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ABC
1 - 1
FEL
77%
16%
8%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
FEL
1 - 3
POT
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
FEL
0 - 0
SAN
26%
23%
50%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARN
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
POT
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ARN
1 - 2
SAN
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
FEL
0 - 0
SAN
26%
23%
50%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |