Força e Luz vs Palmeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
FEL
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
FEL
71%
18%
12%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 1
FEL
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
FEL
3 - 0
ASS
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
GLO
6 - 1
FEL
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 2
ABC
12%
20%
68%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GLO
3 - 1
PAL
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASS
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 0
PAL
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 4
PAL
11%
16%
72%
|
26 | 6 | 20 | 0 |