Força e Luz vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
FEL
3 - 4
POT
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
FEL
35%
23%
43%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
FEL
0 - 2
SAN
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FEL
1 - 6
ABC
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
FEL
2 - 2
ARN
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 1
GLO
17%
22%
61%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 2
ASS
64%
22%
15%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 4
ARN
18%
23%
59%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
POT
2 - 0
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAL
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |