Força e Luz vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
65.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 2
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
GLO
1 - 1
FEL
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 1
POT
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +3 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
POT
3 - 0
FEL
67%
19%
13%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 0
NAU
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 1
ARN
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
0 - 0
ABC
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
3 - 0
SLU
46%
25%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |